VÖRÖS' BASEBALL ANALYSIS PAGE

2001 PLAYER PROJECTIONS

Starters	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Rodriguez, Ivan	408	69	131	24	2	23	78	24	53	9	4	0.321	0.362	0.563
Galarraga, Andres	592	94	166	28	2	36	110	56	145	4	3	0.281	0.346	0.517
Velarde, Randy	578	87	161	27	3	15	72	70	103	13	6	0.279	0.360	0.411
Caminiti, Ken	555	100	156	30	1	32	103	93	103	7	4	0.282	0.388	0.514
Rodriguez, Alex	571	120	179	31	3	46	129	77	106	19	7	0.314	0.398	0.618
Greer, Rusty	564	88	163	35	3	17	80	84	85	4	3	0.290	0.384	0.452
Kapler, Gabe	590	90	164	37	4	22	89	58	92	10	5	0.279	0.347	0.464
Mateo, Ruben	612	90	173	33	3	25	95	36	96	16	6	0.282	0.325	0.468
Palmeiro, Rafael	558	105	167	29	2	40	116	90	77	4	3	0.299	0.399	0.569

Reserves	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Haselman, Bill	400	53	109	23	1	13	57	32	71	2	2	0.273	0.329	0.435
Catalanotto, Frank	593	89	169	32	4	21	86	55	92	9	5	0.285	0.348	0.459
Sheldon, Scott	587	77	138	29	2	21	78	61	174	5	3	0.235	0.310	0.398
Ledee, Ricky	577	89	146	28	5	19	76	71	140	13	6	0.253	0.338	0.421
Curtis, Chad	564	85	144	28	2	14	69	84	111	12	6	0.256	0.356	0.389

Prospects	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Pena, Carlos	574	83	146	30	3	18	77	74	126	6	4	0.254	0.342	0.414
Romano, Jason	600	73	148	32	3	8	60	48	104	13	6	0.246	0.305	0.350
Young, Mike	601	77	149	31	7	8	58	47	127	14	6	0.248	0.305	0.359
Lamb, Mike	600	79	168	37	4	15	79	48	77	2	2	0.279	0.336	0.428
Dransfeldt, Kelly	606	65	128	26	4	12	59	42	195	7	4	0.212	0.265	0.325

Longshots	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Porter, Bo	569	87	134	24	4	16	67	79	165	20	7	0.236	0.332	0.375
Sierra, Ruben	594	81	160	27	3	19	80	54	101	5	3	0.270	0.334	0.424
Goodwin, Curtis	588	73	144	27	3	7	56	60	120	10	5	0.245	0.318	0.339
Butler, Rich	595	76	142	27	4	19	74	53	132	5	3	0.239	0.305	0.391
Hubbard, Mike	403	47	101	18	2	8	44	29	69	3	2	0.251	0.304	0.360
Simms, Mike	570	90	152	26	2	28	91	78	134	3	3	0.267	0.358	0.465

Notes:

As it stands now, the Rangers offense is obviously pretty loaded led by the two Rodriguezes. But I think it's reasonable to put question marks next to the projections of Galarraga, Caminiti, Mateo and maybe Velarde. Caminiti, especially, posts a stronger projection than the Rangers may ultimately get from the position. I don't claim to see into the future. The facts here are that Ken Caminiti when playing, has been an outstanding hitter the last few years. It's also a fact that Caminiti has suffered from a host of both physical and other problems. The projection system takes Caminiti's numbers over the past few years and projects him based on those numbers, his age and a couple of other standard variables. But it doesn't (nor, in my opinion should it) adjust for these other issues. This is something you should always keep in mind before putting these numbers to any significant use.
In my opinion, Frank Catalanotto could be the best position player in baseball without a starting job.
Mike Lamb is listed among the prospects because he fits better there than anywhere else. Dransfeldt is there because I figured some people may want know what the ex-prospect was up to these days.
Ruben Sierra is taking one of the strangest career paths I've seen in quite some time.
The Mike Simms projection is more or less for fun. Don't go overboard looking for a comeback there.

Vörös McCracken
voros@daruma.co.jp
February 21, 2001